Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 8.061464 9.462717 10.999110 12.803860 14.860683 17.126542 19.806216
2025-12-14 5.488705 7.306853 9.518548 12.383515 15.970387 20.284560 25.834844
2025-12-21 4.021527 5.936928 8.470985 12.016319 16.786848 22.914728 31.300079
2025-12-28 3.361962 5.402688 8.292342 12.589595 18.704893 26.964061 38.801160
2026-01-04 2.829914 4.909393 8.037714 12.945316 20.274293 30.602908 45.991201
2026-01-11 2.356099 4.394724 7.640525 12.989623 21.335733 33.555241 52.397597
2026-01-18 1.985275 3.965516 7.289939 13.022957 22.331404 36.434931 58.857603
2026-01-25 1.628390 3.484709 6.769921 12.693455 22.689712 38.341278 63.958673
2026-02-01 1.343337 3.075017 6.300060 12.367618 22.986253 40.129758 68.953180
2026-02-08 1.086382 2.664451 5.759312 11.834732 22.856235 41.191759 72.833646
2026-02-15 0.892823 2.341910 5.328887 11.434315 22.890885 42.489807 77.136648
2026-02-22 0.800334 2.221120 5.273484 11.723164 24.162907 45.928435 85.155286
2026-03-01 0.709108 2.095800 5.214306 12.047258 25.624300 49.961588 94.736895
2026-03-08 0.581714 1.853383 4.871705 11.770756 25.957572 52.101087 101.338261
2026-03-15 0.473879 1.630556 4.529879 11.442557 26.146869 53.986962 107.624334
2026-03-22 0.434365 1.585676 4.593741 11.996696 28.145567 59.337318 120.442268
2026-03-29 0.388433 1.509009 4.565894 12.338760 29.736470 64.028148 132.345874
2026-04-05 0.335245 1.393649 4.418280 12.381437 30.695964 67.569949 142.333136
2026-04-12 0.289571 1.288100 4.275704 12.413445 31.628582 71.114660 152.529798
2026-04-19 0.239015 1.147506 4.008222 12.097418 31.753894 73.050543 159.752399
2026-04-26 0.197088 1.022448 3.757926 11.784945 31.847039 74.913699 166.928574
2026-05-03 0.157342 0.888763 3.451095 11.274012 31.417643 75.650055 171.901641
2026-05-10 0.127503 0.783054 3.206245 10.890174 31.242540 76.895310 177.952623